On the Record: Predictions

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

849. By 2030, There will be one person who is able to think a search function and return a result as if they Google’d something, with no physical hookup and no audible speech (fully cerebral thought) and less than 100ms latency. $1k bet. 10 years
02020-02030
Tyler G Cordell

847. The United States National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) will fail.The failure of the program will create a financial crisis as trillions of dollars in coastal real estate will become suddenly too expensive to insure, resulting in a crash of major markets like Miami and Houston 15 years
02020-02035
Robert T Fleming

846. Bitcoin will not become the world's single currency by 2030. 9 years
02020-02030
Saikat Chakrabarti

845. By 2030, half of the UK adult population will be vegan. 9 years
02020-02030
Dale Vince

842. Small Modular Reactors will produce less than 1% of global electricity in 2040. 20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court

841. Nuclear energy will decline as a proportion of global electricity generation over the 2020s. 9 years
02020-02029
Simon Holmes à Court

840. American Social Security will remain intact through 2050. 30 years
02020-02050
Spiro P Gianniotis

839. By the end of 2035, more electricity will be generated globally from wind and solar power combined than from coal. 16 years
02020-02035
Simon Holmes à Court

838. Battery electric cars will outsell hydrogen fuel-cell cars by at least a factor of 10 globally every year from 2020 to 2040. 20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court

837. Over the two decades to 2040, the total quantity of CO₂ captured and sequestered from every coal power station on the planet will be less than that emitted from Australia's Eraring power station. 20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court

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