Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
924.
Humanity will encounter super intelligent fully cybernetic extraterrestrial species before encountering super intelligent biological species.
? years
02022-???
Nicholas R Corcoran
922.
Sam Bankman-Fried will be charged with a crime for his actions at FTX/Alameda.
2 years
02022-02025
JP Bonner
921.
I predict that a space satellite launch company will have the highest market cap out of any publicly traded company by 2040
17 years
02022-02040
Engelo Rumora
920.
The NEOM THE LINE building will not be completed as currently envisaged.
Fewer than one million people will live in a single building at the foreseen location in 2035.
12 years
02022-02035
Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
918.
The SETI Institute will not announce the detection of a signal from an extraterrestrial civilization (that is, a signal that is unambiguously non-natural and does not originate from Earth) within the next 20 years.
20 years
02022-02042
Taurus Londoño
917.
From August 25, 2022 to the last trading day of August 2032, Alphabet stock will outperform Fundsmith hedge fund.
10 years
02022-02032
Will S
916.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will report more than 4,951,360 jobs in the transport and warehousing sector for July 2030.
9 years
02022-02031
Bill Murphy
915.
In Australia, rooftop solar and distributed storage will power our cities during heat waves, no longer reliant on the grid during these periods
10 years
02022-02032
Audrey Zibelman
914.
In Australia, we’ll have way more distributed energy and different consumption patterns; the whole energy and electricity system will be very different and much closer to people.
10 years
02022-02032
Sumant Sinha
913.
Australia will be shipping FutureFeed and it’ll be the world’s most popular way of reducing agricultural emissions, becoming a major export industry for Australia and contribute to world’s climate emissions.
10 years
02022-02032
Larry Marshall