On the Record: Predictions

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869. Within 15 years, in some country with a population at least as large as the Netherlands, at least 10% of new homes under construction will be built by 3-D printing, probably of concrete. 15 years
Robert M Coppock

867. By 2031, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will establish a long term military presence, with elements of the People’s Liberation Arm (PLA), on a nation in the Western Hemisphere, specifically between longitude 30W and 135W. 10 years
John J Braunschweig

866. By 2050 we will have made several breakthroughs in biotechnology that will allow us to slow down aging, rejuvenate the body and hence extend healthy human lifespan to at least 120 years. This technology will be affordable enough so that it is available for the general public. 29 years
Max Unfried

865. A top Shakespearean editor or scholar will agree that Sir Thomas North is a reasonable candidate for authorship of at least one of Shakespeare’s source plays (including "Arden of Faversham.") 5 years
Dennis J McCarthy

864. By 2030, more than 10 million people will be using social networks wherein the content is store on servers or other storage that the user owns, with the network merely aggregating the content and providing a feed. 10 years
Oliver M Cox

863. By January first, 2024, the price of Bitcoin, as quoted in the Wall Street Journal, will be below 2500 USD. 3 years
Tim Bray

862. There will be no serious long-term adverse effects from mass mRNA vaccination against COVID-19. 5 years
Gabriel D Dimitrov

861. By 1 March 2023, a territorial coup will be attempted by Boko Haram quasi-agents in the South of Nigeria, such that land rights of Southern Nigerians will be overwhelmed and the Fulani people will look to settle in the area. 2 years
Dieter O Scheler

860. Quantum computing & quantum networks will allow us to communicate with alternate timelines/dimensions 679 years
Daniel Khodarahmi

859. By the year 2050, the net contribution of controlled fusion power to the U.S. electrical grid will still be zero, or less. 29 years
George Dyson


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