The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes. MORE »
Duration 4 years 02017-02020
will go to Givewell if Rees wins,
or Givewell if Pinker wins.
Duration 9 years 02020-02030
Challenge Vince to a bet!