Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
938.
S&P 500 will outperform Bitcoin by the end of 2140 (end of Bitcoin mining)
? years
02023-???
Edward Y Li
936.
"By April 26, 2033, the number of countries reporting outbreaks of Candida auris will have increased by at least 50% compared to the current number of affected countries (as of September 2021), indicating that Candida auris has become an epidemic in multiple regions of the world.
10 years
02023-02033
Ezra R Bleau
935.
World peace by October 30, 2150
128 years
02023-02150
Zachary J Waugaman
934.
The market share of new electric light duty vehicles (per the US EIA definition) sold in the US will exceed 17% (>17% EV + PHEV market share) by the end of 2030.
8 years
02023-02030
Ryan D McGlothlin
932.
It will come to light that the United States Federal Government has control of a significant portion of Bitcoin. They will leverage this Bitcoin holding to erase their National debt.
52 years
02023-02075
Jack Chapman
931.
Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved.
5 years
02023-02028
Marshall Hilgemann
930.
by 2035 there will be at least one public protest of more than 100 people in a G7 county against the switching off of a machine or software program on the grounds that it is sentient and has a right to live.
12 years
02023-02035
William E Hanbury
928.
S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB.
Starting point today: 12/23/2022
Ending point today: 12/23/2027
5 years
02022-02027
dividends20 dividends20
927.
Within 20 years electric scooter racing will surpass motorcycle racing in terms of popularity
20 years
02022-02042
Simon Pilepich
925.
Poland will synchronize its first nuclear power plant BEFORE Germany exits coal power.
? years
02022-???
Adam Błażowski