Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
934.
The market share of new electric light duty vehicles (per the US EIA definition) sold in the US will exceed 17% (>17% EV + PHEV market share) by the end of 2030.
8 years
02023-02030
Ryan D McGlothlin
933.
By 2043 there will be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC.
20 years
02023-02043
Samo Burja
932.
It will come to light that the United States Federal Government has control of a significant portion of Bitcoin. They will leverage this Bitcoin holding to erase their National debt.
52 years
02023-02075
Jack Chapman
931.
Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved.
5 years
02023-02028
Marshall Hilgemann
930.
by 2035 there will be at least one public protest of more than 100 people in a G7 county against the switching off of a machine or software program on the grounds that it is sentient and has a right to live.
12 years
02023-02035
William E Hanbury
928.
S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB.
Starting point today: 12/23/2022
Ending point today: 12/23/2027
5 years
02022-02027
dividends20 dividends20
927.
Within 20 years electric scooter racing will surpass motorcycle racing in terms of popularity
20 years
02022-02042
Simon Pilepich
925.
Poland will synchronize its first nuclear power plant BEFORE Germany exits coal power.
? years
02022-???
Adam Błażowski
924.
Humanity will encounter super intelligent fully cybernetic extraterrestrial species before encountering super intelligent biological species.
? years
02022-???
Nicholas R Corcoran
922.
Sam Bankman-Fried will be charged with a crime for his actions at FTX/Alameda.
2 years
02022-02025
JP Bonner