On the Record: Predictions

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

934. The market share of new electric light duty vehicles (per the US EIA definition) sold in the US will exceed 17% (>17% EV + PHEV market share) by the end of 2030. 8 years
02023-02030
Ryan D McGlothlin

933. By 2043 there will be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC. 20 years
02023-02043
Samo Burja

932. It will come to light that the United States Federal Government has control of a significant portion of Bitcoin. They will leverage this Bitcoin holding to erase their National debt. 52 years
02023-02075
Jack Chapman

931. Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved. 5 years
02023-02028
Marshall Hilgemann

930. by 2035 there will be at least one public protest of more than 100 people in a G7 county against the switching off of a machine or software program on the grounds that it is sentient and has a right to live. 12 years
02023-02035
William E Hanbury

928. S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB. Starting point today: 12/23/2022 Ending point today: 12/23/2027 5 years
02022-02027
dividends20 dividends20

927. Within 20 years electric scooter racing will surpass motorcycle racing in terms of popularity 20 years
02022-02042
Simon Pilepich

925. Poland will synchronize its first nuclear power plant BEFORE Germany exits coal power. ? years
02022-???
Adam Błażowski

924. Humanity will encounter super intelligent fully cybernetic extraterrestrial species before encountering super intelligent biological species. ? years
02022-???
Nicholas R Corcoran

922. Sam Bankman-Fried will be charged with a crime for his actions at FTX/Alameda. 2 years
02022-02025
JP Bonner

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