On the Record: Predictions

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

931. Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved. 5 years
02023-02028
Marshall Hilgemann

930. by 2035 there will be at least one public protest of more than 100 people in a G7 county against the switching off of a machine or software program on the grounds that it is sentient and has a right to live. 12 years
02023-02035
William E Hanbury

928. S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB. Starting point today: 12/23/2022 Ending point today: 12/23/2027 5 years
02022-02027
dividends20 dividends20

927. Within 20 years electric scooter racing will surpass motorcycle racing in terms of popularity 20 years
02022-02042
Simon Pilepich

925. Poland will synchronize its first nuclear power plant BEFORE Germany exits coal power. ? years
02022-???
Adam Błażowski

924. Humanity will encounter super intelligent fully cybernetic extraterrestrial species before encountering super intelligent biological species. ? years
02022-???
Nicholas R Corcoran

922. Sam Bankman-Fried will be charged with a crime for his actions at FTX/Alameda. 2 years
02022-02025
JP Bonner

921. I predict that a space satellite launch company will have the highest market cap out of any publicly traded company by 2040 17 years
02022-02040
Engelo Rumora

920. The NEOM THE LINE building will not be completed as currently envisaged. Fewer than one million people will live in a single building at the foreseen location in 2035. 12 years
02022-02035
Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer

918. The SETI Institute will not announce the detection of a signal from an extraterrestrial civilization (that is, a signal that is unambiguously non-natural and does not originate from Earth) within the next 20 years. 20 years
02022-02042
Taurus Londoño

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