On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
958.
Either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party or both will splinter on or before June 10, 2048 (02048), 23.5 years from now.
23 years
02025-02048
Wyne L. Karnath
957.
The average global temperature in 2025 will be lower than 2024. Jim N.R.Dale will be proved wrong.
2 years
02024-02026
Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
956.
By 2030 there will be a major automotive vendor offering 15 year warranties on EV batteries.
6 years
02024-02030
Gordon Shephard
955.
By the end of 2033, it will be possible to order a burger, fries, and a drink for delivery by flying drone in Santa Barbara, CA.
9 years
02024-02033
Ivan Bercovich
954.
Leonard Peltier will be freed from prison, during Donald Trump's second term.
5 years
02024-02029
Joseph L McCord
953.
Within ten years - the JWST will find evidence of photosynthezing life on an exoplanet.
10 years
02024-02034
Joseph L McCord
952.
Within ten years - at least a significant minority of physicists will conclude that special relativity theory, as it is presently understood, has to be amended.
10 years
02024-02034
Joseph L McCord
951.
By 2030, an AI will be able to CEO a startup; marshaling and overseeing other AI and human workers to create revenue.
7 years
02024-02030
Peter Vessenes
950.
There will be fewer than three hostile nuclear detonations on US soil within the next 2 years
2 years
02024-02026
Hjalmar Peters
949.
Commercially available electricity from nuclear fusion will not be utilized in an electric grid by 2035 as predicted by the Fusion Industry Association.
12 years
02024-02035
Steven B Kurtz
