On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
960.
In a world where US politics is still dominated by the two current major political parties, Democratic and Republican, the first female POTUS will be a Republican.
? years
02025-???
S T
959.
Within 10 years, meat eating will be becoming socially unacceptable in the United States in the same way that cigarette smoking has become socially unacceptable.
11 years
02025-02035
David Abrams
958.
Either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party or both will splinter on or before June 10, 2048 (02048), 23.5 years from now.
23 years
02025-02048
Wyne L. Karnath
957.
The average global temperature in 2025 will be lower than 2024. Jim N.R.Dale will be proved wrong.
2 years
02024-02026
Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
956.
By 2030 there will be a major automotive vendor offering 15 year warranties on EV batteries.
6 years
02024-02030
Gordon Shephard
955.
By the end of 2033, it will be possible to order a burger, fries, and a drink for delivery by flying drone in Santa Barbara, CA.
9 years
02024-02033
Ivan Bercovich
954.
Leonard Peltier will be freed from prison, during Donald Trump's second term.
5 years
02024-02029
Joseph L McCord
953.
Within ten years - the JWST will find evidence of photosynthezing life on an exoplanet.
10 years
02024-02034
Joseph L McCord
952.
Within ten years - at least a significant minority of physicists will conclude that special relativity theory, as it is presently understood, has to be amended.
10 years
02024-02034
Joseph L McCord
951.
By 2030, an AI will be able to CEO a startup; marshaling and overseeing other AI and human workers to create revenue.
7 years
02024-02030
Peter Vessenes
