Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
148.
By 2006 a single-answer technology other than Google will emerge as the favored answering service and will remain in power for at least two years
3 years
02004-02006
John S Flowers
143.
By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the "faxing" (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate objects, such as text books, clothing, jewelery and the like.
16 years
02004-02020
Rob Schnitzer
141.
By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S.
17 years
02004-02020
Jigar Shah
137.
The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104.
100 years
02003-02104
Frank Toms
131.
DNA Emulation
? years
02003-???
John S Washburn
127.
Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015.
12 years
02003-02015
1 future
123.
Downtown American cities in two hundred years will look pretty much as they do now.
200 years
02003-02203
Kevin Kelly
122.
There will be only three significant currencies used in the world by 2063. More than 95 % of the countries in the world will use one of them.
60 years
02003-02063
Kevin Kelly
121.
One hundred years from now the world's governments will formally and legally recognize the basic human right of mobility: a person may live anywhere on earth if they agree to obey local laws.
100 years
02003-02103
Kevin Kelly
119.
China will be considered a Christian nation, with at least 33% of its residents identifying themselves as Christians, by the year 2085.
82 years
02003-02085
Kevin Kelly