On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
168.
By 2050 most geologists will agree that most of earth's oil and gas reserves were not produced by decaying plants.
46 years
02004-02050
Danny Hillis
165.
By 2040 the existence of Qi will be accepted by the mainstream scientists, and Qi research will revolutionize our mechanical scientific TOE into a true TOE.
36 years
02004-02040
Datong Assoc
164.
That by 2020 it will be possible and desirable for urban houses to have a room in the house designed for, and dedicated to, producing a household's entire water supply. This will be achievable through condensation (a terarium effect) and using solar panel roof tiles to generate the energy to produce, purify and filter the water.
16 years
02004-02020
Michael F Olliffe
163.
You are immortal
20 years
02004-02024
Brendan McAuliffe
149.
US accounting and banking regulations will not require that loan portfolios held in the "banking book" be marked to market before 2024.
20 years
02004-02024
Stuart Brannan
148.
By 2006 a single-answer technology other than Google will emerge as the favored answering service and will remain in power for at least two years
3 years
02004-02006
John S Flowers
143.
By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the "faxing" (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate objects, such as text books, clothing, jewelery and the like.
16 years
02004-02020
Rob Schnitzer
141.
By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S.
17 years
02004-02020
Jigar Shah
137.
The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104.
100 years
02003-02104
Frank Toms
131.
DNA Emulation
? years
02003-???
John S Washburn
