On the Record: Predictions

Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

148. By 2006 a single-answer technology other than Google will emerge as the favored answering service and will remain in power for at least two years 3 years
02004-02006
John S Flowers

143. By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the "faxing" (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate objects, such as text books, clothing, jewelery and the like. 16 years
02004-02020
Rob Schnitzer

141. By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S. 17 years
02004-02020
Jigar Shah

137. The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104. 100 years
02003-02104
Frank Toms

131. DNA Emulation ? years
02003-???
John S Washburn

127. Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015. 12 years
02003-02015
1 future

123. Downtown American cities in two hundred years will look pretty much as they do now. 200 years
02003-02203
Kevin Kelly

122. There will be only three significant currencies used in the world by 2063. More than 95 % of the countries in the world will use one of them. 60 years
02003-02063
Kevin Kelly

121. One hundred years from now the world's governments will formally and legally recognize the basic human right of mobility: a person may live anywhere on earth if they agree to obey local laws. 100 years
02003-02103
Kevin Kelly

119. China will be considered a Christian nation, with at least 33% of its residents identifying themselves as Christians, by the year 2085. 82 years
02003-02085
Kevin Kelly

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