On the Record: Predictions

Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

270. By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system. 18 years
02006-02025
Adam Dingle

267. By 2010, the use of dial-up modems will represent less than 5 percent of all Internet access (represented as a percentage of all households) in the United States. As part of this prediction, I expect that at that time, dial-up service will cost significantly more than the slowest alternative, which will be substantially faster than dial-up. 3 years
02006-02010
Glenn I Fleishman

266. There will be a quantum computer with over 100 qubits of processing capability sold either as a hardware system or whose use is made available as a commercial service by Dec 31, 2010 4 years
02006-02010
brian wang

262. By the year 2050, there will be at least 1 green autotrophic person on the Earth... 44 years
02006-02050
Emre Sokullu

259. Within a decade Wal-Mart (WMT) shares cease to be listed on the NYSE as a result bankruptcy, being taken over/private, or being delisted by the exchange. 10 years
02006-02016
Michael Kreusch

257. Hydrocarbon fuels will be the "fuel of choice" for personal transportation for the next 50 years 50 years
02006-02056
John T Hoagland

252. By year 2036, there will be at least 1 man alive in the U.S. who has fathered 150 children. ? years
02006-???
Baris Karadogan

246. The world will not reach 'Peak Oil' by 2010.

I have invited Jeremy Leggett, a champion of the peak oil concept and author of "Half gone: oil, gas, hot air and the global energy crisis", to bet against this prediction.
4 years
02006-02010
Clive D Bates

244. Steve Jobs will be nominated for Presdident of the United States, by one of the two major political parties in 2012. 6 years
02006-02012
Tyrone Boyd

243. An all-new Star Wars film will be released to theatres this century. 95 years
02006-02100
Michael P Strenski

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