Duration 23 years (02007-02030)
Robert C Hiemstra
Citizen profiling is performed in an attempt to know that citizen?s mind in order to predict future destructive behavior; it?s all about trying to glean a mind?s intention. In this day of stealth, encryption, and WMD in the hands of individual citizens and visitors, society must also know her individuals? intentions.
As stated above, my 2020 Long Bets Prediction addressed only surveillance and profiling of individuals. The full assessment and absolute guarantee of ?friendliness,? however, could only be made with full psychiatric monitoring of the dangerous mind. New technologic frontiers, mostly relating to increasingly sophisticated brain scans, are promising much for the future. Now, this may sound intrusive and illegal, and it is, but if we lose Indianapolis to a nuke, the laws will change.
We must remember that at times in Russia political deviancy has been considered a psychiatric problem; in times of suitcase-size nuclear warheads, certain political deviancies revealed by the scans might very well be considered validly psychiatric, publicly condemnable, and ?medically? treatable.
If a brain scan can locate the bomb, we will scan the brain.
Challenge Robert C Hiemstra to a bet on this prediction!