Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
295.
By 2020, historians will agree that the the start of the 21st century also marked the beginning of the "Second" or "New Renaissance."
13 years
02007-02020
Zeus Jones
289.
Long Bets
RCH #2: By 2030
The Prediction:
The great contest of the 21st century ? the individual vs. society and the state ? will progress much past my 2020 Long Bets Prediction of effective computerized individual citizen profiling, with the full maturation of the nascent, but extremely promising studies of brain, mind and personality as revealed by the many different brain scanning devices now being intensively studied and developed.
These scans - and their related psychologic, psychiatric, and sociologic fields interpreting them and giving them function ? will gain great utility as the ultimate lie detectors. But they will go much beyond the simple lie detector in that they will reveal the workings of the mind in such a way that the mind will be made malleable and reshapable in manners currently thought inconceivable (see my Long Bets Prediction #3).
23 years
02007-02030
Robert C Hiemstra
287.
Within two generations, the Iranian people will become an anchor of freedom for the middle east.
8 years
02007-02015
Russell A Mitchell
285.
By the year 2035 non-invasive devices will allow us to interface with the internet (including accessing information in a similar sense to recalling memories) using electro-stimulus from neuron signals.
28 years
02007-02035
Myles A Kellam
284.
By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people.
18 years
02007-02025
JOSE LUIS L SEGOVIA
283.
I predict that our civilization will survive until at least 2100.
93 years
02007-02100
John Tierney
282.
THE world?s slowest concert, which began on September 5, 2001 and which is scheduled to take 639 years, will still be performed at its half-time interval, wich is planned for the year 2319.
313 years
02007-02319
Imre Bondar
270.
By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system.
18 years
02006-02025
Adam Dingle
267.
By 2010, the use of dial-up modems will represent less than 5 percent of all Internet access (represented as a percentage of all households) in the United States. As part of this prediction, I expect that at that time, dial-up service will cost significantly more than the slowest alternative, which will be substantially faster than dial-up.
3 years
02006-02010
Glenn I Fleishman
266.
There will be a quantum computer with over 100 qubits of processing capability sold either as a hardware system or whose use is made available as a commercial service by Dec 31, 2010
4 years
02006-02010
brian wang