On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
847.
The United States National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) will fail.The failure of the program will create a financial crisis as trillions of dollars in coastal real estate will become suddenly too expensive to insure, resulting in a crash of major markets like Miami and Houston
15 years
02020-02035
Robert T Fleming
846.
Bitcoin will not become the world's single currency by 2030.
9 years
02020-02030
Saikat Chakrabarti
845.
By 2030, half of the UK adult population will be vegan.
9 years
02020-02030
Dale Vince
842.
Small Modular Reactors will produce less than 1% of global electricity in 2040.
20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court
840.
American Social Security will remain intact through 2050.
30 years
02020-02050
Spiro P Gianniotis
839.
By the end of 2035, more electricity will be generated globally from wind and solar power combined than from coal.
16 years
02020-02035
Simon Holmes à Court
838.
Battery electric cars will outsell hydrogen fuel-cell cars by at least a factor of 10 globally every year from 2020 to 2040.
20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court
837.
Over the two decades to 2040, the total quantity of CO₂ captured and sequestered from every coal power station on the planet will be less than that emitted from Australia's Eraring power station.
20 years
02020-02040
Simon Holmes à Court
836.
Fossil gas power generation will contribute less than 10% of power generated in Australia’s National Electricity Market on average through the 2020s.
10 years
02020-02029
Simon Holmes à Court
835.
No coal-fired power stations will be built in Australia's main grids between 2010 and 2030.
10 years
02020-02030
Simon Holmes à Court
