Bet 864

Duration 10 years (02021-02030)

“By 2030, more than 10 million people will be using social networks wherein the content is store on servers or other storage that the user owns, with the network merely aggregating the content and providing a feed.”

Oliver M Cox


Cox's Argument

1. The cost of server level technology is decreasing, and is rapidly becoming negligible, e.g. in the order of $5 / month. 2. Unfair and heavy-handed tactics on the part of social media companies will encourage users to store their own posts on media they own. 3. Social media will become more important as time passes, increasing the incentives for states and governments to intervene; this means more pressure for users to run networks on their own terms. Credit: Balaji Srinivasan predicts crypto-based social networks: Naval Ravikant predicts open source, decentralized social networks:

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