Bet 859
Duration 29 years (02021-02050)
PREDICTOR
George Dyson
CHALLENGER
Unchallenged
For 65 years, controlled fusion power has remained a decade away. Despite concerted effort, even proof-of-principle break-even has yet to be achieved. So another 30 years without commercialized fusion power seems like a reasonable bet to me. (and I’ll be happy if proven wrong)