On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
827.
By 2030, China would expand to become a larger superstate.
? years
02020-???
Brian Ong
826.
By 2030 us dollor will loose it's value as globally accepted currency and the most powerfull currency in the world.
11 years
02020-02030
bimal sethi
825.
By the end of 2025, multiple major media outlets will have argued that the worldwide response to COVID-19 was "the most expensive overreaction in human history" or words to that effect.
6 years
02020-02025
James R Hill
824.
If the next president of the USA will be a democrat and/or a female, the US's anual GPD growth, major Wall Street share indices (Dow Jones, NASDAQ comp.) by the end of the term in 2024 will be higher, unemployment rate lower and number of system crisis lower than now.
5 years
02020-02024
Daniel M Wigger
823.
The total Australian infected population from the COVID-19 virus will be less than 1% of the population.
2 years
02020-02022
Neeharika Prasad
822.
At least 8 out of the 10 years following 2020 will have a global mean teamperature that is going to be higher than the global mean temperature between Jan 1st 2000 and Dec 31th 2009 (+0.59°C relative to 1951-1980 average temperatures
12 years
02020-02031
Dr. Friederich Limbach
821.
By the end of 2030, Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) as measured by the Integrated Multi-Mission Ocean Altimeter Data will rise to 120 mm above January 1, 1993 (2 month average)
11 years
02020-02030
Dr. Friederich Limbach
820.
The COVID 2019 Coronavirus (also known as the Wuhan coronavirus) will have resulted in fewer than 10,000,000 fatalities by 2022-02-02
2 years
02020-02022
Rohit Patnaik
819.
The startup biopharma company EQRx will not have developed and brought to market its projected ten drugs during its first ten years. This widely quoted statement is simply not realistic.
10 years
02020-02030
Derek B Lowe
818.
By 2050 the cheapest type of fuel will be synthetic fuel from biomass, produced with nuclear-generated (fission or fusion) electricity.
30 years
02020-02050
Gabor Laszlo
