Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
881.
In Winter 2030 Germany will have overcome the COVID pandemic. Excess mortality will be below pre-pandemic levels. Life expectancy for the elderly will be higher and entry restrictions for bars and restaurants will cease.
9 years
02021-02031
Kamil Pabis
880.
Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2022, and ending on December 31, 2031, the S&P 500 will outperform Bitcoin.
10 years
02021-02031
Driton Odza
879.
The emissions intensity of Australia's National Electricity Market will fall below 60 kgCO₂e/MWh before 30 June 2041 without the help of nuclear energy.
20 years
02021-02041
Simon Holmes à Court
878.
There will be no coal plants operating in Australia by 31 December 2030
9 years
02021-02030
Evan B Beaver
877.
By 2040, a SpaceX manufactured satellite will be involved in a collision with another object in space.
18 years
02021-02040
Chris Rodriguez
876.
Ten years from now, on September 15th, 2031, one bitcoin will be worth more than 0.05 troy ounces of gold.
10 years
02021-02031
Harold Christopher Burger
874.
Humanity will reach the escape of velocity of life extension within 2 years meaning that every year that we get to live longer, science will advance enough to extend human life span by the same number of years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longevity_escape_velocity
2 years
02021-02023
Julian Kaljuvee
873.
By 2046, a 100MW fusion plant will be in operation and selling electricity to the grid.
25 years
02021-02046
Kevin L Reynolds
872.
The solar system will not be converted to a giant Matrioshka brain in the next 989 years.
989 years
02021-03010
Jason W Galbraith
871.
By 2025 there will be more than 100,000 high-functioning AI digital people at work in the United States.
4 years
02021-02025
William J O'Connor