On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
885.
In five years' time, by December 31, 02026, autonomous vehicles will be banned from public roadways. They will be legal to operate on completely automated roadways on which no non-autonomous vehicles will be allowed.
5 years
02021-02026
John V Corbett
884.
In five years' time, by December 31, 2026, essential enterprise software, specifically MS Office for business and Avid Pro Tools for film, will be metered in seconds, rather than distributed in a sales or monthly subscription model.
5 years
02021-02026
John V Corbett
882.
By 2045 the average mean temperature of the northern and southern hemispheres will be 45C near the equator the amt will be 54C. Perminant ice up to 2 feet deep will cover the plains of the USA and the Steppe and East land forms of Russia and southern Africa and South America.
? years
02021-???
jeff seiver
881.
In Winter 2030 Germany will have overcome the COVID pandemic. Excess mortality will be below pre-pandemic levels. Life expectancy for the elderly will be higher and entry restrictions for bars and restaurants will cease.
9 years
02021-02031
Kamil Pabis
880.
Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2022, and ending on December 31, 2031, the S&P 500 will outperform Bitcoin.
10 years
02021-02031
Driton Odza
879.
The emissions intensity of Australia's National Electricity Market will fall below 60 kgCO₂e/MWh before 30 June 2041 without the help of nuclear energy.
20 years
02021-02041
Simon Holmes à Court
878.
There will be no coal plants operating in Australia by 31 December 2030
9 years
02021-02030
Evan B Beaver
877.
By 2040, a SpaceX manufactured satellite will be involved in a collision with another object in space.
18 years
02021-02040
Chris Rodriguez
876.
Ten years from now, on September 15th, 2031, one bitcoin will be worth more than 0.05 troy ounces of gold.
10 years
02021-02031
Harold Christopher Burger
874.
Humanity will reach the escape of velocity of life extension within 2 years meaning that every year that we get to live longer, science will advance enough to extend human life span by the same number of years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longevity_escape_velocity
2 years
02021-02023
Julian Kaljuvee
