Bet 905

Duration 59 years (02022-02081)

“By 2080, a mathematician would win the Fields Medal before the age of 22, thus becoming the first undergraduate winner of the Fields Medal.”

Shengtong Zhang


Zhang's Argument

In the past years, numerous educational programs, textbooks, and online resources have made it much easier for talented students to learn advanced mathematics at a young age, no matter where in the world they are. Consequently, in the next few decades, we would discover many more mathematical prodigies than we can today, especially in population centers like China, India, and Africa. It is not inconceivable that one of them can make a breakthrough worthy of the Fields medal at a much younger age than we can imagine today.

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