On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
862.
There will be no serious long-term adverse effects from mass mRNA vaccination against COVID-19.
5 years
02021-02026
Gabriel D Dimitrov
861.
By 1 March 2023, a territorial coup will be attempted by Boko Haram quasi-agents in the South of Nigeria, such that land rights of Southern Nigerians will be overwhelmed and the Fulani people will look to settle in the area.
2 years
02021-02023
Dieter O Scheler
860.
Quantum computing & quantum networks will allow us to communicate with alternate timelines/dimensions
679 years
02021-02700
Daniel Khodarahmi
859.
By the year 2050, the net contribution of controlled fusion power to the U.S. electrical grid will still be zero, or less.
29 years
02021-02050
George Dyson
857.
At the end of 2030, there will be more mRNA-based mAbs in clinical trials than those of protein-based mAbs.
10 years
02021-02030
Lizhong He
856.
De Broglie-Bohm pilot-wave theory will overtake the Copenhagen Interpretation of quantum mechanics as the theory most accepted by physicists.
? years
02020-???
Ron Barlin
855.
By 2050, the United States will have passed an amendment abolishing patents and copyrights, OR there will be a patented medical product that will be considered responsible for 5 million American deaths.
29 years
02020-02050
Breck Yunits
851.
The last coal-powered station based on current technology, will close in Australia no later than 2035
15 years
02020-02035
Adam Clarke
850.
By the end of 02035, there will be at least one human living on Earth who has walked on Mars.
15 years
02020-02035
Benjamin G Thompson
849.
By 2030, There will be one person who is able to think a search function and return a result as if they Google’d something, with no physical hookup and no audible speech (fully cerebral thought) and less than 100ms latency. $1k bet.
10 years
02020-02030
Tyler G Cordell
