On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
900.
The International Criminal Court will become totally independent of the Security Council and may even gain the ability to override the vetoes of the latter.
11 years
02022-02033
Jason W Galbraith
898.
Canada's terrifying state-sponsored euthanasia program as described in The Spectator by Yuan Yi Zhu in the article below will have spread to become policy in at least 4 of the G20 by the end of 2035 as an inevitable consequence of markets viewing people as a resource.
14 years
02022-02035
Charles W D Orme
897.
By 2032, decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) and other digitally-constituted organizations will organize more assets and production than traditional, legally-constituted corporations in the United States.
10 years
02022-02032
Joshua Z Tan
896.
I predict that, no later than 11:59 PM Mountain Time, 31 December, 2050, the festival known as the Calgary Stampede will have ceased to exist.
29 years
02022-02050
Jordan C Lewans
895.
Global climate change will cause the mass displacement or death of over 1 billion people by the beginning of year 02200.
178 years
02022-02200
Brice Fernandes
894.
Oil will not be the resource war of the middle 21st century. Nor will rare earth elements matter.
I predict by the end of the 2020’s and into the 2030’s war will be fought over the rarest and most sacred resource to life: Water.
18 years
02022-02040
Ana S Thompson
893.
By the end of 2036, humans sent by SpaceX will have landed and walked on the surface of Mars.
15 years
02022-02036
Gabe Garboden
891.
Within 10 years from now, free markets for the stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) will no longer exist, or more than 10 billion UST will have been traded below 0.90 USD, or UST will be backed by USD.
10 years
02022-02032
Hjalmar Peters
888.
By the year 2030, there will be successful re-produced or remastered versions of 1990s 'classic' movies which replace main characters with Meme Characters or amusing replacements of the original starring characters such as such as cats, other animals or non-human entities.
? years
02022-???
Baron P Drumm
886.
A manned mission to Mars will be underway or will have actually arrived there by the time Long Bets posts Prediction 1000.
12 years
02022-02033
Jason W Galbraith
