As of August 2022, BLS is projecting 6,189,200 jobs in transport and warehousing in 2030. This prediction asserts that BLS has not overestimated the number of transport and warehousing jobs by 20%. There are several factors which might reduce employment in this sector, such as self-driving trucks and warehouse robots, deglobalization and decrease in global shipping volumes, or secular economic decline. While these are long-term concerns for the industry, they will not manifest in this time span: it will not be feasible to automate a large number of transport and warehousing jobs by 2030, and global shipping volumes will remain high enough to continue job growth.
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