Bet 908

Duration 3 years (02022-02025)

“Fewer that 25% of states with Roe v. Wade anti-abortion trigger bans will implement any meaningful improvements for child-related care or support within 3 years.”

Joseph A Miller


Miller's Argument

Definition for "meaningful improvements" is a lack of per capita increase in the following metrics:
1. maternal mortality
2. child mortality
3. sexual violence toward children
4. domestic violence

List of the 13 states with trigger bans as of 06/24/2022:
Immediate trigger: Kentucky, Louisiana, South Dakota
30 day delay trigger: Idaho, Tennessee, Texas
Certification step trigger: Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, Wyoming

This is in response to seeing lots of conservative talk about how now that Roe v Wade has been overturned, it's now we need to ensure that children are taken care of properly!

I'll donate $1000 to my opposer's charity of choice if even a quarter (3) of the states with trigger bans on abortions have implemented meaningful improvements to their child care systems within the next 3 years.

You might argue that 3 years is too short of a timeframe, but there are A LOT of children born in a 3 year time period. By the end of this 3 year period, a child conceived today will be past their second birthday. In addition, you will notice that my definition of "meaningful improvements" merely constitutes a lack of increase per capita.

The basis for my reasoning is that the median pro-life supporter cares not about children, but about fetuses. If they cared about children, the states with the greatest pro-life support would also have the lowest rates of the metrics I am targeting. Given that they have some of the worst rates of all of the above metrics, it's clear that any talk about improvements now that Roe v. Wade has been overturned is bullshit.

If they cared about children, the order of operations would be flipped here. Improvements in child and family care would come first in preparation for the (likely) increase in birthrate, especially among the underprivileged.

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