On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
110.
Within 100 years the citizens and companies of a large and prosperous country in excess of 100 million people will no longer pay taxes of any kind.
100 years
02003-02103
Robert Thibadeau
106.
By 2025 at least 50% of all U.S. citizens residing within the United States will have some form of technology embedded in their bodies for the purpose of tracking and identification.
22 years
02003-02025
Douglas C Hewes
105.
As of March 7th, 2005, Osama bin Laden is dead.
2 years
02003-02005
Thomas L Holaday
97.
Barring an unexpected decline in human numbers from current levels, biodiversity will not reverse its downward trend, air and water pollution will not reverse their increasing trends,(all according to World Resources Institute data) and the WHO will not report a decrease in the percentage of humans with persistent illnesses.
10 years
02003-02013
Steven B Kurtz
92.
By 2020 a completely propellantless (no material particles expelled for propulsion) or "field propulsion-type" aerospace vehicle will land on the Moon.
18 years
02002-02020
jay c dillon
88.
Major online internet useage research firms will record that over 3 billion people in 2025 managed their incoming and outgoing digital information using a graphical user interface based on Quadrant Theory - as described in Marshall McLuhan's "Tetrad" model in Laws of Media, Ken Wilber's Holon in Sex, Ecology Spirituality, and R Buckminster Fuller's Tetrahedral structures in Synergetics.
23 years
02002-02025
Judah Thornewill
86.
By the year 2150, over 50% of schools in the USA or Western Europe will require classes in defending against robot attacks.
147 years
02002-02150
Alex K Rubin
78.
By 2070, at least six countries will have officially implemented a 4-day working week.
68 years
02002-02070
Christophe Cauvy
77.
By 2050, at least two pan-regional currencies, modeled on the Euro, will be used in the world.
48 years
02002-02050
Christophe Cauvy
76.
By the year 2020 solar electricity will be as cheap or cheaper than that produced by fossil fuels.
18 years
02002-02020
Robert A Freling
