Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
44.
By 2020, in real or artificial life, sustainable evolutionary progress in a genetically closed system will not have been demonstrated.
18 years
02002-02020
Brig Klyce
43.
By 2030 all surgical anesthesia will be administered and monitored by computers, with no need for professional medical supervision beyond the surgeon.
28 years
02002-02030
Jason I Altman
42.
That by 2024 "artificial" life emerging somewhere out of the soup of human technology will be given a Latin taxonomic name by biologists and others and declared viable for study.
22 years
02002-02024
Bruce F Damer
39.
Music CDs compatible with current (2002) CD players will still be sold regularly in 2015.
13 years
02002-02015
Jacob A Walker
27.
By the year 2020, the tickets to space travel - at the least to Moon, will be available over the counter.
18 years
02002-02020
Hemant Sharma
26.
By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States.
11 years
02002-02012
Bob Rosenberg
22.
By 2100 a world government will be in place and in control of: business law, environmental law, and weapons of mass destruction.
98 years
02002-02100
Colin R Glassey
16.
That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monitor and index conversations you have or conversations which occur in your vicinity for later searching as supplemental memory.
18 years
02002-02020
Gregory W Webster
15.
By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware (ie. will become conscious).
48 years
02002-02050
Nova Spivack
14.
In 2012, 75 percept of all revenue for enterprise software companies will be from subscription fees rather than license fees.
10 years
02002-02012
marc s sokol