Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
26.
By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States.
11 years
02002-02012
Bob Rosenberg
22.
By 2100 a world government will be in place and in control of: business law, environmental law, and weapons of mass destruction.
98 years
02002-02100
Colin R Glassey
16.
That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monitor and index conversations you have or conversations which occur in your vicinity for later searching as supplemental memory.
18 years
02002-02020
Gregory W Webster
15.
By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware (ie. will become conscious).
48 years
02002-02050
Nova Spivack
14.
In 2012, 75 percept of all revenue for enterprise software companies will be from subscription fees rather than license fees.
10 years
02002-02012
marc s sokol
13.
By 2007, the U.S. Government will intervene to prevent at least one of the Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers (ILECs)/Regional Bell Operating Companines (RBOCs) (e.g. Verizon, SBC, Bell South, and EXCEPTING Qwest) from filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
5 years
02002-02007
Andy Chapman
10.
The Bet: By 2050, we will receive intelligent signals from outside our solar system.
48 years
02002-02050
Paul Hawken
