Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
217.
Within the next 5 years, Google employees will become dissatisfied, and kick-start a new wave of new technology and prosperity in Silicon Valley.
5 years
02005-02010
Juli Mallett
216.
There will be a 'commercial-free', premium internet service offering by a relatively unknown company within 10 years.
10 years
02005-02015
Robert Frates
214.
The People's Republic of China will successfuly place a living human on the surface of Mars before any other nation.
? years
02005-???
Jeff J Jonas
211.
If the next president of the USA will be a democrat and/or a female, the US's anual GPD growth, major Wall Street share indices (Dow Jones, NASDAQ comp.) by the end of the term in 2012 will be higher, unemployment rate lower than now. The death toll of US soldiers in foreign countries and the numbers of terror attacks in western countries will be lower.
7 years
02005-02012
Daniel M Wigger
208.
The International Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report will conclude it is likely, or more than likely, that human-caused global warming has increased hurricane intensity in the 1995-2005 time period.
10 years
02005-02015
Brian A Schmidt
207.
By 2150 faster than light propulsion theory will become realized, but not implemented, either through black holes, worm holes or space time warping.
145 years
02005-02150
Gary G Cassel
205.
Google will face antitrust proceedings from the DOJ or a challenge to a merger or acquisition by the FTC.
4 years
02005-02009
Rudy Rouhana
204.
In 2009, WinFX will be the dominant API for application development on all major PC platforms.
2 years
02005-02007
Carl Lumma
200.
Within 5 years all power plants will be converted to full-spectrum laser-fired---all oil/gas/coal/nuclear power plants will be obsolete and retired.
4 years
02005-02010
Carla Hein
196.
I predict that global warming denialists such as MIT professor Richard Lindzen will be shown to be wrong over the next 20 years as global warming continues. Specifically, I believe the scientific consensus that temperatures are likely to increase by .3 degrees Celsius over the next 20 is more accurate than the Lindzen/denialist position that temperatures are as likely to decrease as increase. Choosing a prediction that is halfway between the consensus and the denialist viewpoints, I predict that temperatures will increase by at least .15 degrees Celsius from 2005 to 2025. This bet is open to anyone who wants to accept it.
20 years
02005-02025
Brian A Schmidt