On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
619.
By the end of 2013, the censorship and domestic monitoring system, known as the Great Firewall System, will become ineffective at stopping Chinese Internet users from accessing global information.
2 years
02011-02013
Isaac Mao
618.
By November 30th 02013, Andrea Rossi's E-Cat technology will be widely accepted to produce a COP of 6 or above
2 years
02011-02013
Patrick Ellul
615.
A commercial airliner will be destroyed by terrorists hacking the software of either the aircraft or an external system such as air traffic control.
10 years
02011-02021
Roderick Jones
612.
The spirit of the current Constitution of the United States will not be in force continuously for 1000 years. At some point at or before its millennium, it will have been suspended, revoked, superseded or otherwise have ceased to be considered in full legal force.
776 years
02011-02787
Bruno B.A. Parga
611.
Bitcoins will outperform the US Dollar, Gold, Silver, and the stock market by over 100 times over the next two years.
2 years
02011-02013
Roger K Ver
607.
By Dec 31, 2013 the total volume of payments denominated in Facebook Credits (or any replacement introduced by Facebook) will meet or exceed $16 billion in a three month period.
3 years
02011-02013
Shamir Karkal
605.
“By December 31, 2020, synthetic solar energy (fusion) will have been shown to be a technically feasible, by an experiment demonstrating a controlled fusion reaction producing more harnessable energy than was used to ignite it.”
9 years
02011-02020
Danny Hillis
597.
By January 21, 2016, Facebook will not have the largest market share of social network users who log in at least once per day.
5 years
02011-02016
John Feminella
596.
By 2050, less than 20% of the United States will attend church on a regular basis (at least 3 times a month)
39 years
02011-02049
Stefan Wilson
594.
Within twenty years, evidence of human-induced anthropogenic global warming and its deleterious effects will be unequivocal.
20 years
02010-02030
Edwin J Adlerman
