Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
583.
A third party candidate will be elected President of the United States.
15 years
02010-02025
Neal Mueller
577.
By 2050 Baidu.com will surpass Google.com and become world's number 1 search engine.
40 years
02010-02050
Yan Bashkin
574.
Christopher Hitchens will publically confess his sins to God, however he finds Him between now and the time of his passing, and accept Christ as his Lord, Savior and pathway to God. He will do this in a meaningful rather than a flippant, facetious or hypothetical fashion, by surrendering his earthly will to God, with all of his heart and soul.
? years
02010-???
Martin Naskovski
543.
Technocrat will become a political party by 2020.
10 years
02010-02020
steve hockenyos
522.
By 2020, GE crops will be grown on 10 fold more acreage than they are today, will be widely accepted by consumers and will have clearly benefited the goals of sustainable agriculture
11 years
02009-02020
Pamela C Ronald
521.
A nuclear explosive weapon will be used in war or terrorism.
21 years
02009-02030
James P Rutt
511.
There will be a Chernobyl National Park by 2035.
25 years
02009-02035
Stewart Brand
510.
Human population of the world will peak at or below 8 billion in the 2040s and then drop dramatically.
40 years
02009-02049
Stewart Brand
509.
By the end of 2011 it will be clear that the world financial crisis of 2009 had no effect on the rate of urbanization in the developing world, but it led to growth of the informal economy in those countries and to increases in global crime.
2 years
02009-02011
Stewart Brand
491.
The nation with the highest (nominal) gdp in the world in 2025 will be China.
17 years
02009-02027
Rogier M Sluimers