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Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer (ansgarjohn)

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Bets & Predictions that Brenninkmeijers' placed

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
920.	The NEOM THE LINE building will not be completed as currently envisaged. Fewer than one million people will live in a single building at the foreseen location in 2035.	12 years 02022-02035		Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
957.	The average global temperature in 2025 will be lower than 2024. Jim N.R.Dale will be proved wrong.	2 years 02024-02026		Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer

Bets & Predictions Brenninkmeijers' challenged

Predictions that Brenninkmeijer has challenged.

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
628.	I predict that Google will introduce a Google currency that will be an alternative to all currencies and that this will become the leading currency in the world by 2017	5 years 02012-02017		Perry Haydn Taylor
656.	“Neither the Google car nor any other fully autonomous car will be marketed to the general public by 2025”	12 years 02013-02025		Wendell Wallach
734.	The Frank Value Fund, an actively managed US mutual fund, will outperform the S&P 500 Index over the next ten years net of all fees and expenses.	10 years 02017-02027		Brian Frank
768.	Berkshire Hathaway’s total shareholder return including dividends and possible spin-offs will be greater than the S&P 500 total return including dividends over the 20 years period of May 3rd, 2019 to May 3rd, 2039.	20 years 02018-02038	$408 $204	Zach S Greenwald	Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
800.	Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less nickel than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.	10 years 02019-02029		Andrew P McAfee
801.	Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less copper than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.	10 years 02019-02029		Andrew P McAfee
845.	By 2030, half of the UK adult population will be vegan.	9 years 02020-02030		Dale Vince
863.	By January first, 2024, the price of Bitcoin, as quoted in the Wall Street Journal, will be below 2500 USD.	3 years 02021-02024		Tim Bray
885.	In five years' time, by December 31, 02026, autonomous vehicles will be banned from public roadways. They will be legal to operate on completely automated roadways on which no non-autonomous vehicles will be allowed.	5 years 02021-02026		John V Corbett
909.	In 5 years, a bitcoin will be worth less than $100US.	5 years 02022-02027		Boran A Akin
918.	The SETI Institute will not announce the detection of a signal from an extraterrestrial civilization (that is, a signal that is unambiguously non-natural and does not originate from Earth) within the next 20 years.	20 years 02022-02042		Taurus Londoño
928.	S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB. Starting point today: 12/23/2022 Ending point today: 12/23/2027	5 years 02022-02027		dividends20 dividends20
930.	By 2035 there will be at least one public protest of more than 100 people in a G7 county against the switching off of a machine or software program on the grounds that it is sentient and has a right to live.	12 years 02023-02035	$400 $200	William E Hanbury	Ansgar J Brenninkmeijer
946.	By 2033, adult obesity levels in the United States will be 50% or less of those reported in 2023.	10 years 02024-02033		Brant von Goble
953.	Within ten years - the JWST will find evidence of photosynthezing life on an exoplanet.	10 years 02024-02034		Joseph L McCord
959.	Within 10 years, meat eating will be becoming socially unacceptable in the United States in the same way that cigarette smoking has become socially unacceptable.	11 years 02025-02035		David Abrams