the rules
of long bets
bets & predictions
on the record
make a
prediction
about
long bets
FAQ
& answers

Simon Holmes à Court (simonahac)

Energy transition specialist. Twitter: @simonahac

Bets & Predictions that Holmes à Courts' placed

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
832.	At least 50% of new car sales in Australia will be electric (EVs) in 2030 or earlier.	11 years 02020-02030		Simon Holmes à Court
833.	Renewable Energy will comprise at least 50% of the energy in Australia’s National Electricity Market no later than the end of 2030.	11 years 02020-02030	$1,000 $500	Simon Holmes à Court	Jonathan A Sutanto
834.	Nuclear power will provide 0% (rounded to the nearest whole number) of the power in Australia’s National Electricity Market in every year to 2040.	20 years 02020-02039		Simon Holmes à Court
835.	No coal-fired power stations will be built in Australia's main grids between 2010 and 2030.	10 years 02020-02030		Simon Holmes à Court
836.	Fossil gas power generation will contribute less than 10% of power generated in Australia’s National Electricity Market on average through the 2020s.	10 years 02020-02029		Simon Holmes à Court
837.	Over the two decades to 2040, the total quantity of CO₂ captured and sequestered from every coal power station on the planet will be less than that emitted from Australia's Eraring power station.	20 years 02020-02040		Simon Holmes à Court
838.	Battery electric cars will outsell hydrogen fuel-cell cars by at least a factor of 10 globally every year from 2020 to 2040.	20 years 02020-02040		Simon Holmes à Court
839.	By the end of 2035, more electricity will be generated globally from wind and solar power combined than from coal.	16 years 02020-02035		Simon Holmes à Court
841.	Nuclear energy will decline as a proportion of global electricity generation over the 2020s.	9 years 02020-02029	$400 $200	Simon Holmes à Court	James B Kell
842.	Small Modular Reactors will produce less than 1% of global electricity in 2040.	20 years 02020-02040		Simon Holmes à Court
879.	The emissions intensity of Australia's National Electricity Market will fall below 60 kgCO₂e/MWh before 30 June 2041 without the help of nuclear energy.	20 years 02021-02041		Simon Holmes à Court

Bets & Predictions Holmes à Courts' challenged

Predictions that Holmes à Court has challenged.

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
No Challenges submitted.