Scholar of mathematics
No. | Bet | Duration | Stakes | Predictor | Challenger |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
850. | By the end of 02035, there will be at least one human living on Earth who has walked on Mars. |
15 years 02020-02035 |
Predictions that Thompson has challenged.
No. | Bet | Duration | Stakes | Predictor | Challenger |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
775. | At least 1000 people in one calendar year will depart Earth for Mars by the end of 2035. |
17 years 02019-02036 |
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832. | At least 50% of new car sales in Australia will be electric (EVs) in 2030 or earlier. |
11 years 02020-02030 |
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845. |
9 years 02020-02030 |
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852. | By 2035 there will be at least 10 people living on Mars for a period of more than 2 months. |
15 years 02020-02035 |
$500 $250 |