Bet 850

Duration 15 years (02020-02035)

“By the end of 02035, there will be at least one human living on Earth who has walked on Mars.”


Thompson's Argument

The success of the partnership between NASA and SpaceX during 02015-02020 suggests that NASA's Artemis 3 mission will have accomplished its goals by 02030. I am optimistic that progress towards human spaceflight to Mars will accelerate towards the end of the 02020s, and that this will be achieved by the end of 02035.

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