On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
467.
By 2013 eBay will either (1) rename itself Paypal, or (2) spin Paypal out.
5 years
02009-02013
Josh Kopelman
463.
By 2050 the tallest free or non-free standing structure in the world will reach over 10 kilometers in height.
41 years
02009-02050
Rogier M Sluimers
449.
Somewhere before 2050 abortion on request and/or for socio-economic factors will be illegal worldwide.
41 years
02008-02050
Rogier M Sluimers
448.
By 2100, a small self-sustainable population will be living off this planet
92 years
02008-02100
Michael H Martin-Smith
440.
By 2012, current venture capital- and privately-funded methods of DNA sequencing, independent of any additional “incremental improvements” will be made obsolete by the technology described in The Economist (October 25th - 31st 2008; US print edition, p.82) and at http://www.5bases.com.
4 years
02008-02012
Lux Veritas
438.
The End of Wheels: A country or state will ban the use of wheeled vehicles by private consumers on high capacity public roads.
42 years
02008-02050
Saul Kato
437.
The Iraqi Dinar will revalue, and reach a value of 3 Dinars per 1 U.S. dollar, or better, by November 6/2013. Currently, as of November 6/08, the exchange rate is 1176 Iraqi Dinars, per U.S. dollar.
5 years
02008-02013
Tim Wiebe
436.
2007 will be the historical peak year for US energy-related CO2 emissions.
? years
02008-???
David C Douglas
433.
advances in personal aviation will cause the cost of land in big sur, ca and other remote areas within 250mi of major metropolitan cities to at least triple within the next 15 years - outperforming the s&p 500 over that period.
15 years
02008-02023
matt oesterle
432.
By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.
16 years
02008-02025
Rogier M Sluimers
