Stewart Brand (brand)

Co-founder of Long Bets, President of The Long Now Foundation. Author of THE CLOCK OF THE LONG NOW (2001), which gives background on Long Now and also describes the predecessor of Long Bets, a notion called "Responsibility Record."

Bets & Predictions that Brands' placed

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
129.

As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US.

2 years
02003-02005
$1,000
$500

Stewart Brand

brian eno

509.

By the end of 2011 it will be clear that the world financial crisis of 2009 had no effect on the rate of urbanization in the developing world, but it led to growth of the informal economy in those countries and to increases in global crime.

2 years
02009-02011

Stewart Brand

510.

Human population of the world will peak at or below 8 billion in the 2040s and then drop dramatically.

40 years
02009-02049
$2,000
$1,000

Stewart Brand

Francis Tapon

511.

There will be a Chernobyl National Park by 2035.

25 years
02009-02035

Stewart Brand

590.

Friends of the Earth (US) will no longer be fighting against nuclear power by December 2015.

5 years
02010-02015

Stewart Brand


Bets & Predictions Brands' challenged

Predictions that Brand has challenged.

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
120.

By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.

22 years
02003-02025
$800
$400

Kevin Kelly

Stewart Brand