Bet 521

Duration 21 years (02009-02030)

“A nuclear explosive weapon will be used in war or terrorism.”

James P Rutt


Rutt's Argument

While MAD worked with a few heavily armed nuclear powers, proliferation of non-existential (to civilization) sized arsenals make use much more likely and, indeed, even "reasonable" for tyrants attempting to maintain their power.

Challenge Rutt!

Challenge James P Rutt to a bet on this prediction!