On the Record: Bets

126. Over the next ten years, we will make measurable global progress in all five areas of the human condition: food, access to clean water, health, education, and the price of energy. ? years
02003-??? $400
$200 Patrick Burns Steven B Kurtz

120. By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists. 22 years
02003-02025 $800
$400 Kevin Kelly Stewart Brand

118. By 02060 the total population of humans on earth will be less than it is today. 53 years
02017-02070 $400
$200 Kevin Kelly Jernej Mlakar

117. The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residential) per Kilowatthour of electricity in the United States will rise as calculated by the U.S. Departmentof Energy in chained (inflation-adjusted) U.S. dollars. 3 years
02003-02005 $400
$200 Steven B Kurtz Patrick Burns

80. Evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence within the solar system will be confirmed before evidence from several light-years away. ? years
02002-??? $400
$200 Allen Tough H. Paul Shuch

30. The first discovery of extraterrestrial life will be someplace other than on a planet or on a satellite of a planet. ? years
02002-??? $2,000
$1,000 freeman j dyson Peter A Spark

20. In 2022 the US economy will no longer be held to be the world leader in global environmental degradation. 20 years
02002-02022 $2,000
$1,000 Peter A Spark Alexander King

12. By 2020, no one will have won a Nobel Prize for work on superstring theory, membrane theory, or some other unified theory describing all the forces of nature. 18 years
02002-02020 $2,000
$1,000 John Horgan Michio Kaku

11. At least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150. 148 years
02002-02150 $2,000
$1,000 Peter Schwartz Melody K Haller

9. A bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31 02020. 4 years
02017-02020 $400
$200 Martin Rees Steven Pinker