On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
403.
Computers will become intelligent within my "lifetime" (or 50 years which ever is longer)
50 years
02008-02058
Jonathan M Rothberg
388.
Hurricanes in Florida will be less in 2005-2015, than the average of the preceding three decades
6 years
02008-02014
Jack Scherer
377.
There will be a casino on the moon by 2040.
32 years
02008-02040
Online Casino Reports
371.
On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, traditionally called "Hello, world!", will have an executable file whose size exceeds 1 gigabyte.
22 years
02008-02030
Wayne B Hayes
354.
In 2010 more diesel passenger vehicles will be sold in the US than hybrids.
3 years
02008-02011
Martin G Tobias
351.
One or more space agencies will send a manned mission to Mars by 2035.
27 years
02008-02035
Predictify Crowd
347.
Roe v. Wade will not celebrate a 50th anniversary.
15 years
02008-02023
Jason W Galbraith
346.
The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make it happen. I don't see this as a possibility until after Nov. 9, 2010 the next mid-term elections.
3 years
02008-02010
Barry J Benjamin
345.
Self-replicating manufacturing machines will be commonplace by 2020.
12 years
02008-02020
Adrian Bowyer
343.
Patents will be abolished by at least two leading economies within the next 20 years for all areas except pharmaceuticals.
15 years
02008-02023
Joerg W Schwieder
