On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
429.
By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics.
16 years
02008-02025
Rogier M Sluimers
427.
By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists.
16 years
02008-02025
Rogier M Sluimers
426.
In the year 2050, there will not be an operating fusion power plant -- a device that generates net energy via a nuclear fusion reaction and transmits it to the electrical grid -- anywhere in the world.
42 years
02008-02050
Charles G Seife
425.
By 2025, new astronomical observations and theories will render the Big Bang an untenable explanation for the origin of the Universe.
16 years
02008-02025
Rogier M Sluimers
423.
I predict that THE HUMAN KNOWLEDGE MINDMAP will become the globally dominant knowledge paradigm by the year 2100.
92 years
02008-02100
William P Sheridan
409.
By the end of the 2016 Olympic Games, swimmer Michael Phelps will be convicted for doping at the 2008 Olympic Games.
8 years
02008-02016
Florian Kunze
405.
By 2011 a mother will have the entire genome sequence of her unborn child from her own blood.
3 years
02008-02011
Jonathan M Rothberg
404.
By 2015 the majority of people who make predictions on this site will have had their genomes sequenced.
7 years
02008-02015
Jonathan M Rothberg
403.
Computers will become intelligent within my "lifetime" (or 50 years which ever is longer)
50 years
02008-02058
Jonathan M Rothberg
388.
Hurricanes in Florida will be less in 2005-2015, than the average of the preceding three decades
6 years
02008-02014
Jack Scherer
