On the Record: Predictions

Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.

How Betting Works »

NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

681. In the time from now until Dec. 31st 2020, Apple Inc. will not start to manufacture or sell cars (self driving or not) nor will they supply components - hardware or software - to car manufacturers. 6 years
02015-02020
Joerg W Schwieder

678. Apple will release an electric car within the next decade. 10 years
02014-02024
Tobie Langel

677. England and the United States will be unified as one kingdom. ? years
02014-???
Peter D Shively

675. By September 27th 2071 long extinct trilobites (or direct descendents of) will be found in the deep waters of the seas possibly, but not exclusively, around underwater hydrothermal vents. 57 years
02014-02071
Vincent T Ciaramella

674. By 2025, oil and gas companies will find that their carbon is much more valuable as a manufacturing source material than as a waste product. 12 years
02014-02025
Timothy W Loomis

671. Within 25 years the CDC will reverse their recommendation for human usage of at least one of the ten best selling vaccines of the present (Prevnar 13, PENTAct-HIB, Gardasil, GSK's HepA/B, Celtura, Varivax, RotaTeq, Synflorix, Zostavax, Menactra) due to adverse side effects. 25 years
02014-02039
Republika Hrvatska Bio Research

667. By the end of 2017 a major protest will feature a drone versus drone aerial confrontation. 5 years
02014-02019
Chris E Spurgeon

663. In 2100, nation states will dissolve into metrop-community built around common interests and vocations of the integrants of the communities (the people). These communities will develop their own organizing structures and rules. 87 years
02013-02100
Mikel Aizpurua

662. By 2025, the underground economy in the USA will be worth more than $6 trillion -- it’s estimated to be around $2 trillion today. 12 years
02013-02025
Tom Warner

661. By 2020, Urban and vertical farms will replace 10% of city produce in Chicago. 7 years
02013-02020
Ed Hubbard

more

Looking for predictions that challengers have already turned into bets? See Bets on the Record!