On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
793.
In 2027, at least 7 out of the top 10 TIOBE languages will be Tree Languages AND/OR 0 out of the top 10 languages on 2017's list will be in the Top 10 in 2027.
8 years
02019-02027
Breck Yunits
792.
I predict that by 2032, We will see Main Land China adopt a capitalistic Real Estate Market.
13 years
02019-02032
Harrison F Connolly
791.
E-Verify will not be implemented nationwide for all employers in the United States.
? years
02019-???
Gene McCulley
790.
By the end of 2021, the price of bitcoin will be higher than it is today.
2 years
02019-02021
Harold Christopher Burger
789.
The IPCC will be displaced and become irrelevant in the discussions around global climate catastrophism within a generation.
30 years
02019-02049
tom a luther
788.
That the total return (price appreciation + dividends paid) of Berkshire Hathaway B shares (BRK.B) will greater than that of the S&P 500 over the next 10 years (7/18/2019 market close to 7/18/2029 market close.) Starting prices are $2,995.11 for the S&P and 207.98 for BRK.B.
10 years
02019-02029
John C Leven
787.
Within twenty years, tulpas—sapient, autonomous mental entities constructed for one's well-being or companionship—will be a known phenomenon in the public eye.
20 years
02019-02039
Alek Malesevic
786.
If Donald Trump wins the 2020 Presidential Election, Ted Cruz will become the next President of the United States of America in 2024.
5 years
02019-02024
Max Wolter
785.
By Dec 31, 2021 the total volume of payments denominated in Facebook Libra (or any replacement introduced by Facebook) will NOT exceed $1.8 Trillion in a three month period.
3 years
02019-02021
Shamir Karkal
784.
By 2044 it will be illegal to drive in the United States.
25 years
02019-02044
Eric Blankenburg
