On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
783.
By 02050, an algorithm will receive a major multi-book publishing deal.
31 years
02019-02050
Hugh Howey
782.
The US trade deficit with China will be greater at the end of Trump’s administration than it was when he took office.
? years
02019-???
Gene McCulley
781.
I predict that for the rest of the 2019 Calendar year the US Stock Market will experience another bull rally, in-turn, turning bearish/recession before April 17th, 2021.
2 years
02019-02021
Quintin R. Friedman
779.
Basketball, as determined by # of viewers + $ of revenue, will be the biggest sport in the USA in 20 years.
20 years
02019-02039
Doug M Purdy
778.
There will be about one under-M5 earthquake per day in the gas field of Groningen, The Netherlands.
7 years
02019-02025
Maurice H van Putten
777.
In the next twenty years, humanity will NOT be able to create life completely artificially.
? years
02019-???
David Porush
776.
I predict that #TSLA share price will trade above USD 420 on every day of March 2029 (a 42% increase over today`s share price of USD 295).
10 years
02019-02029
S. J. F.
775.
At least 1000 people in one calendar year will depart Earth for Mars by the end of 2035.
17 years
02019-02036
Macon M McInnis
774.
Disney will make more than 10 Marvel universe movies outside those already announced by 2030. The movies announced but not yet released are Captain Marvel, Avengers: Endgame, and Spider-man: Far From Home - these three movies will not count against the 10.
12 years
02019-02030
John Smith
773.
Sparsity will be the dominant aspect of deployed deep learning models.
5 years
02019-02024
Erich Elsen
