On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
796.
In 2029, the US will produce less total CO2 emissions than it did in 2019, even after taking offshoring into account.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
795.
In 2029, the US will consume less total energy than it did in 2019.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
793.
In 2027, at least 7 out of the top 10 TIOBE languages will be Tree Languages AND/OR 0 out of the top 10 languages on 2017's list will be in the Top 10 in 2027.
8 years
02019-02027
Breck Yunits
792.
I predict that by 2032, We will see Main Land China adopt a capitalistic Real Estate Market.
13 years
02019-02032
Harrison F Connolly
791.
E-Verify will not be implemented nationwide for all employers in the United States.
? years
02019-???
Gene McCulley
790.
By the end of 2021, the price of bitcoin will be higher than it is today.
2 years
02019-02021
Harold Christopher Burger
789.
The IPCC will be displaced and become irrelevant in the discussions around global climate catastrophism within a generation.
30 years
02019-02049
tom a luther
788.
That the total return (price appreciation + dividends paid) of Berkshire Hathaway B shares (BRK.B) will greater than that of the S&P 500 over the next 10 years (7/18/2019 market close to 7/18/2029 market close.) Starting prices are $2,995.11 for the S&P and 207.98 for BRK.B.
10 years
02019-02029
John C Leven
787.
Within twenty years, tulpas—sapient, autonomous mental entities constructed for one's well-being or companionship—will be a known phenomenon in the public eye.
20 years
02019-02039
Alek Malesevic
786.
If Donald Trump wins the 2020 Presidential Election, Ted Cruz will become the next President of the United States of America in 2024.
5 years
02019-02024
Max Wolter
