On the Record: Predictions
Discuss these predictions with the predictors themselves. If you decide you disagree, you can challenge a prediction and turn it into Long Bet.
NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR
804.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less chromium than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
803.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less tonnage of rare earth elements than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and these materials will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
802.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less gold than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
801.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less copper than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
800.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less nickel than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
799.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less aluminum than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
798.
Over the five years leading up to 2029, the US will use less iron and steel than it did over the five years leading up to 2019, and the material will be more affordable to the world’s average person over the later period than the earlier one.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
797.
In 2029 US crop tonnage will be greater than it was in 2019 and less total cropland, fertilizer, and water for irrigation will be used for agriculture in the country in 2029 than in 2019.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
796.
In 2029, the US will produce less total CO2 emissions than it did in 2019, even after taking offshoring into account.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
795.
In 2029, the US will consume less total energy than it did in 2019.
10 years
02019-02029
Andrew P McAfee
