On the Record: Bets

395. The first true interstellar mission, targeted at the closest star to the Sun or even farther, will be launched before or on December 6, 2025 and will be widely supported by the public. 17 years
02008-02025 $1,000
$500 Tibor Pacher Paul A Gilster

382. Large Hadron Collider will destroy Earth. 10 years
02008-02018 $1,000
$500 Joe Keane Nick Damiano

367. By the end of the year 2020, a professional sports team that is part of either the National Football League, the National Basketball Association, Major League Baseball, the National Hockey League, or Major League Soccer will integrate and have a woman as a team member/player. 13 years
02008-02020 $500
$250 Thomas R Leavens Nils Gilman

363. By 2018 the Euro (€) will not be the legal currency of France, Italy and Germany. 11 years
02008-02018 $2,000
$1,000 Christoph M Stahl Michael Elsdörfer

362. Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S&P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses. 10 years
02008-02017 $2,222,278
$1,111,139 Warren Buffett Protege Partners, LLC

360. In 2108, an independent, sentient artificial intelligence will exist as a corporation, both providing its services as well as making all financial and strategic decisions. 100 years
02008-02108 $400
$200 Franklin G Forbin Jane Walter

291. Neither major U. S. political party will hold conventions or indeed primaries to select their 2012 Presidential nominees. 6 years
02007-02012 $500
$250 Jason W Galbraith Sam Stigler

197. The U.S Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics (www.bts.gov) will report a lower number of total highway vehicle miles traveled in 2010 than in 2005. 5 years
02005-02010 $400
$200 Daniel K Simon Glen F Raphael

156. By 2025, the states will have voted on at least one constitutional amendment to cede US federal power to a global government. 21 years
02004-02025 $800
$400 Thomas D Quigley Steve M Midgley

129. As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US. 2 years
02003-02005 $1,000
$500 Stewart Brand brian eno