lawyer, science and engineering fanatic, interested futurist and firm critic of alarmism. the biggest risks are the ones most frequently overlooked. the biggest areas for progress are the most banal, and yet, technologically overlooked as nearly impossible , or not worth while.
No. | Bet | Duration | Stakes | Predictor | Challenger |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
636. |
4 years 02012-02016 |
Predictions that kirsh has challenged.
No. | Bet | Duration | Stakes | Predictor | Challenger |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
775. | At least 1000 people in one calendar year will depart Earth for Mars by the end of 2035. |
17 years 02019-02036 |