John C Leven (jleven)

Father/husband, financial analyst, library director, podcaster/blogger, effective altruist

Bets & Predictions that Levens' placed

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
788.

That the total return (price appreciation + dividends paid) of Berkshire Hathaway B shares (BRK.B) will greater than that of the S&P 500 over the next 10 years (7/18/2019 market close to 7/18/2029 market close.) Starting prices are $2,995.11 for the S&P and 207.98 for BRK.B.

10 years
02019-02029

John C Leven


Bets & Predictions Levens' challenged

Predictions that Leven has challenged.

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
43.

By 2030 all surgical anesthesia will be administered and monitored by computers, with no need for professional medical supervision beyond the surgeon.

28 years
02002-02030

Jason I Altman

633.

By the year 2037, all driving on highways and city streets will be completely automated, the only place to freely drive will be specially designated tracks.

25 years
02012-02037

Samuel J Dreyer

676.

By 2040, the percentage of U.S. citizens of traditional college age who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States will drop at least 50% from the level reported for the 2011/2012 academic year.

27 years
02014-02040
$600
$300

Brant von Goble

John C Leven