On the Record: Predictions

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NO.PREDICTIONDURATIONPREDICTOR

941. By 2048 (25 years from now), consumers in the US will not have the option to purchase a fully self-driving car lacking a steering wheel, yet possessing the equivalent transportation capabilities of a standard 2023 sedan. 25 years
02023-02048 Adam Cheyer

940. The total value of the short-term (vacation) rental market as a residential asset class will exceed that of the commercial real estate market by 2026, measured as total US market to total US market. 3 years
02023-02026 Clark S Twiddy

939. Within the next five years, no language learning model (LLM) will be used by a Western nation law enforcement actor to make a sole determination on whether or not someone should be arrested. 5 years
02023-02028 Mike Parks

938. S&P 500 will outperform Bitcoin by the end of 2140 (end of Bitcoin mining) ? years
02023-??? Edward Y Li

936. "By April 26, 2033, the number of countries reporting outbreaks of Candida auris will have increased by at least 50% compared to the current number of affected countries (as of September 2021), indicating that Candida auris has become an epidemic in multiple regions of the world. 10 years
02023-02033 Ezra R Bleau

935. World peace by October 30, 2150 128 years
02023-02150 Zachary J Waugaman

934. The market share of new electric light duty vehicles (per the US EIA definition) sold in the US will exceed 17% (>17% EV + PHEV market share) by the end of 2030. 8 years
02023-02030 Ryan D McGlothlin

932. It will come to light that the United States Federal Government has control of a significant portion of Bitcoin. They will leverage this Bitcoin holding to erase their National debt. 52 years
02023-02075 Jack Chapman

931. Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved. 5 years
02023-02028 Marshall Hilgemann

928. S&P 500 Total return will beat BRKB. Starting point today: 12/23/2022 Ending point today: 12/23/2027 5 years
02022-02027 dividends20 dividends20

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