Bet 971

Duration 14 years (02026-02040)

“A 3ft or taller soft (including elements printed, woven, or grown) humanoid robot will hit the market by 2040 for less than a $400 price point (2026 dollars inflation adjusted)”

PREDICTOR
Peter Haas

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Haas's Argument

Improvements to soft robotics robot printing processes and advances in low powered edge models on cheap commodity compute for physical AI are suggesting the age of cheap prolific soft humanoids is coming. The current most affordable rigid humanoid I can find of this size is the Unitree G1 for $13,500 in China.

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