Bet 931

Duration 5 years (02023-02028)

“Before Jan 1 2028, a text on the NY Times Bestsellers list will be generated through AI / machine learning process. Authorship may be through a pen-name with non-human authorship revealed after listing is achieved.”

PREDICTOR
Marshall Hilgemann

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Hilgemann's Argument

There have been significant strides in the software / algorithms' capabilities of late. It seems more and more feasible. Moreover, reaching the best sellers list without the realization the text was not directly generated by a human serves as a "literary pseudo-Turning test".

Challenge Hilgemann!

Challenge Marshall Hilgemann to a bet on this prediction!