Bet 906

Duration ? years (02022-???)

“In 2030, the share of world energy produced by solar will be < 2%, conditional on real gross world product (in 2015 USD at market exchange rates) being not less than $118 trillion. End date as soon as reputable data (World Bank, IEA, BP etc) for 2030 are available.”

PREDICTOR
Carl Lumma

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Lumma's Argument

Physics

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