Bet 884

Duration 5 years (02021-02026)

“In five years' time, by December 31, 2026, essential enterprise software, specifically MS Office for business and Avid Pro Tools for film, will be metered in seconds, rather than distributed in a sales or monthly subscription model.”

PREDICTOR
John V Corbett

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Corbett's Argument

The first software was designed for, or sold to individual hardware manufacturers and distributed free with the hardware. In the next stage it was sold directly to end users. Next, it was sold under a subscription model to end users. In five years, it will be metered by the nanosecond to end users. This is not only predictable, but inevitable.

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