Bet 683
Duration 50 years (02015-02065)
PREDICTOR
Frank E Reed
CHALLENGER
Unchallenged
The ultimate Turing Test is moral. If a software system passes a test by "reasonable judges" of self-aware intelligence, we will eventually be compelled by our own legal precedents to treat it as "human". Though debates over the reality of artificial intelligence will continue, constitutional legal status will come first in some nation-state level jurisdiction, somewhere in human culture.