Bet 241

Duration 24 years (02006-02029)

“The End of State Sovereignty: By 2030, some form of international federation or global governmental structure will emerge that can exercise ultimate authority over world affairs.”

Mike Treder


Treder's Argument

It is a natural extension of the long historical trend toward increased breadth of governmental authority and responsibility: from band to tribe to village to town to city to state to federation, the direction is clear and inexorable. This next logical step will result from the pressure of commercial globalization (and its social and environmental impacts) combined with the enhanced ability to learn, communicate, and coordinate over greater distances.

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