Stewart Brand (brand)

Co-founder of Long Bets, President of The Long Now Foundation. Author of THE CLOCK OF THE LONG NOW (2001), which gives background on Long Now and also describes the predecessor of Long Bets, a notion called "Responsibility Record."

Bets & Predictions that Brands' placed

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
129.	As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US.	2 years 02003-02005	$1,000 $500	Stewart Brand	brian eno
509.	By the end of 2011 it will be clear that the world financial crisis of 2009 had no effect on the rate of urbanization in the developing world, but it led to growth of the informal economy in those countries and to increases in global crime.	2 years 02009-02011		Stewart Brand
510.	Human population of the world will peak at or below 8 billion in the 2040s and then drop dramatically.	40 years 02009-02049	$2,000 $1,000	Stewart Brand	Francis Tapon
511.	There will be a Chernobyl National Park by 2035.	25 years 02009-02035		Stewart Brand
590.	Friends of the Earth (US) will no longer be fighting against nuclear power by December 2015.	5 years 02010-02015		Stewart Brand

Bets & Predictions Brands' challenged

Predictions that Brand has challenged which have not (yet?) been accepted by the Predictor.

No.	Bet	Duration	Stakes	Predictor	Challenger
120.	By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.	22 years 02003-02025	$800 $400	Kevin Kelly	Stewart Brand