By Dec 31st 2020, fewer than 30% of Americans with home broadband will be on packages that are significantly biased to specified sites (i.e. non-net-neutrality packages - for clarity, we define these as packages that throttle all sites other than a named list to < 10Mbps)
$200 Will Critchlow Mike Bestvina
There will be at least one 2022 FIFA World Cup match which will have more people watching live via virtual reality than people watching it in person.
$250 Swathish R Ayyappan John Palmer
By the end of 2026, there will be less than 2 active commercial wind tunnels in the US
$200 Andre Wegner Spencer N Wright
The annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 02025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, will be 2 percent or above.
$200 Robert D Atkinson Alberto Forchielli
Clinicians and neuroscientists will develop well validated brain-activity measurement technologies establishing with a high degree of certainty whether individual human subjects, such as anesthetized and neurological patients, are, at that moment, conscious.
$200 Christof - Koch Per T Snaprud
“The US unemployment rate, as determined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, will be lower than 8 percent for the year 2035, unless the The National Bureau of Economic Research determines that any quarter in 2035 was in a recession, in which case the reference year will be the 12 months prior to the beginning of the recession.”
$200 Robert D Atkinson Calum Chace
On or before December 31, 2029, Berkshire Hathaway A shares (BRK.A), shall trade at no less than one million dollars ($1,000,000) per A equivalent share
$200 Todd T Covault Daran Joshi
Driverless cars will be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27 2024. Trips may be point to point outside of the city center with no requirement for any passenger to take over manual control of the vehicle.
$250 Jeff McAulay Stephen Zoepf
During the 500 years between 02015 and 02515, the Farsight Fund will return much less than what it has historically. Past performance would suggest 3-4% real (after inflation) annual return on investment, but it will be 2% or less.
$500 Sandra j Ewen Sandra Ewen