The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes.   MORE »


Featured Bet

Duration 10 years 02008-02017

PREDICTOR
Warren Buffett

STAKES $1,000,000

will go to Girls Incorporated of Omaha if Buffett wins,
or Friends of Absolute Return for Kids, Inc if Protege Partners, LLC wins.

Featured Prediction

Duration 53 years 02017-02070

PREDICTOR
Kevin Kelly