Bet 825

Duration 6 years (02020-02025)

“By the end of 2025, multiple major media outlets will have argued that the worldwide response to COVID-19 was "the most expensive overreaction in human history" or words to that effect.”

James R Hill


Hill's Argument

While COVID-19 is certainly a terrible disease and reasonable measures must be taken, I believe that the damage from our response to it will cause more harm to humanity than the disease itself, and that this perspective will be widely held within 5 years.

It's important to note that by "expensive" I include costs measured in human life, quality of life, etc, as well as merely economic consequences.

By "argued", I mean that paid journalists will have published pieces arguing this perspective under the aegis of said major media outlets.

Challenge Hill!

Challenge James R Hill to a bet on this prediction!